Quote from Mastodon, Twitter and publics 2017-04-24

Mastodon, Twitter and publics 2017-04-24 by Kevin Marks (kevinmarks.com)
The furore over Fake News is really about the seizures caused by overactivity in these synapses - confabulation and hallucination in the global brain of mutual media. With popularity always following a power law, runaway memetic outbreaks can become endemic, especially when the platform is doing what it can to accelerate them without any sense of their context or meaning.

One might think that Facebook (and others) could easily analyze the things within their network that are getting above average reach and filter out or tamp down the network effects of the most damaging things which in the long run I suspect are going to damage their network overall.

Our synapses have the ability to minimize feedback loops and incoming signals which have deleterious effects–certainly our social networks could (and should) have these features as well.

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📺 Meet the Press, April 23, 2017

Meet the Press, April 23, 2017 from NBC
White House Chief of Staff Reince Priebus; Sen. marco Rubio (R-FL); Rep Nancy Pelosi (D-CA); roundtable discussion with Cornell Belcher, Robert Costa, Savannah Guthrie and Peggy Noonan

Sadly it appears that narrowing in on 100 Days Trump has accomplished little of note, and doesn’t appear to have much in the hopper from a legislative perspective. Though his staff wants to tout the Supreme Court nominee appointment is a big accomplishment, the score for that really goes to the Republican Senate that stonewalled Obama’s administration. The worse statistic seems to be that the administration is painfully behind the 8-ball on their administrative nominations–they’ve apparently only made 44 to this point and have only had 22 pass the Senate, while prior administrations have had 2-3 times this many through at this point in the game.

Priebus seems to sound very capitulatory on the budget issue facing the administration down on Friday the 28th with the pending continuing resolution to fund the government. That day would be Trump’s 99th and I can’t image that he’d shut the government down and risk the huge flack and pushback in doing such a thing. But then with him, one never knows…

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📖 Read pages 30-43 of Complexity and the Economy by W. Brian Arthur

📖 Read pages 30-43 of Complexity and the Economy by W. Brian Arthur

Chapter 2 is a nice piece on the El Farol Problem which is a paradox which “represented a decision problem where expectations (forecasts) that many would attend [the El Farol bar] would lead to few attending, and expectations that few would attend would lead to many attending: expectations would lead to outcomes that would negate these expectations.”

Zhang and Challet generalized this problem into the Minority Game in game theoretic form.

Page 31:

There are two reasons for perfect or deductive rationality to break down under complication. The obvious one is that beyond a certain level of of complexity human logical capacity ceases to cope–human rationality is bounded. The other is that in interactive situations of complication, agents cannot rely upon the other agents they are dealing with to behave under perfect rationality, and so they are forced to guess their behavior. This lands them in a world of subjective beliefs and subjective beliefs about subjective beliefs. Objective, well-defined, shared assumptions then cease to apply. In turn, rational, deductive reasoning (deriving a conclusion by perfect logical processes from well-defined premises) itself cannot apply. The problem becomes ill-defined.

This passage, though in an economics text, seems to be a perfect statement about part of the problem of governing in the United States at the moment. I have a thesis that Donald Trump is a system 1 thinker and is generally incapable of system 2 level thought, thus he has no ability to discern the overall complexity of the situations in which he finds himself (or in which the United States finds itself). As a result, he’s unable to effectively lead. From a complexity and game theoretic standpoint, he feels he’s able to perfectly play and win any game. His problem is that he feels like he’s playing tic-tac-toe, while many see at least a game as complex as checkers. In reality, he’s playing a game far more complex than either chess or go.

The overall problem laid out in this chapter is an interesting one vis-a-vis the issues many restaurant startups face, particularly in large cities. How can they best maximize their attendance not only presently, but in the long term while staying afloat in very crowded market places.

Page 38:

The level at which humans can apply perfect rationality is surprisingly modest. Yet it has not been clear how to deal with imperfect or bounded rationality.

Chapter 3 takes a similar problem as Chapter 2 and ups the complexity of the problem somewhat substantially. While I understand that at the time these problems may have seemed cutting edge and incomprehensible to most, I find myself wondering how they didn’t see it all from the beginning.

Complexity and the Economy by W. Brian Arthur
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Checkin Rite Aid Drug Store / Thrifty Ice Cream

They have a Thrifty ice-cream here.

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Checkin The San Marino Grill

The San Marino Grill

This looks like a cute little breakfast joint. Very friendly.

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Checkin San Marino Toy and Book Shoppe

San Marino Toy and Book Shoppe

They’ve really got a nice selection of almost everything here for browsing. They charge full price on everything, but it’s worth the small mark up for the experience as well as the immediacy.

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📗 Read pages i – xxix of An Introduction to Transfer Entropy: Information Flow in Complex Systems

📗 Read pages i – xxix of An Introduction to Transfer Entropy: Information Flow in Complex Systems by Terry Bossomaier, Lionel Barnett, Michael Harré, and Joseph T. Lizier

From page vi:

The structure of the book is a bit like stone fruit, with a soft wrapping of a hard core, …

Transfer entropy is hard to calculate from real data.

I love that they provide a “List of Key Ideas”, a “List of Open Research Questions”, and a “List of Key Results” in the opening along with the traditional sections of symbols used, acronyms, list of tables, etc. More texts of all stripes should be doing this!

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RSVP to Re-Opening to Glendale Central Library

Attending Glendale Central Library Foundation: Creation Celebration & Re-Opening Gala
Be the first to experience the re-imagined Central Library at the Glendale Library Foundation Creation Celebration and Re-Opening Gala Friday, April 28, 2017, 6:00 - 9:00 p.m. Glendale Central Library 222 East Harvard Street, Glendale CA 91205 Enjoy hors d'oeuvres, specialty drinks and live jazz while you explore the new: MakerSpace, Remembrance Room, Reading Spa, Art on the Walls, and Recording Studio. This event is sponsored by and benefits the Glendale Library Foundation, Tax ID 46-4303592. To learn more visit the Glendale Library Foundation website, or contact by email or phone at 818-937-7813. The Central Library will reopen to the public on Monday, May 1, 2017. For more information see the website.

Glendale Central Library